Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Phil Davis has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Phil Davis has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Rodney Wallace (52.9%).
- Phil Davis has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Rodney Wallace
oldest →L
vs Jared Hamman · Mar 10 Phil Davis
oldest →W
vs Vinny Magalhaes · Apr 13W
vs Lyoto Machida · Aug 13L
vs Anthony Johnson · Apr 14W
vs Glover Teixeira · Oct 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Rodney WallaceMetricPhil Davis
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.31Δ 3.83 — meaningful gap+1.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Rodney WallacePhil Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Rodney Wallace(2 fights)Phil Davis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -139.6|Blue +139.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Rodney WallaceTargetPhil Davis
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Phil Davis edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:59Control
Round 2Phil Davis edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:13Control
Round 3Phil Davis edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:11Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
