Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Caceres has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Alex Caceres has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alex Caceres (53.5%).
- Alex Caceres has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Damacio PageL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brian Bowles · Mar 11L
SUBvs Brad Pickett · Apr 12 Alex CaceresL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Mar 22W
KOvs Julian Erosa · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Jun 23L
vs Giga Chikadze · Aug 23L
vs Sean Woodson · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Damacio PageMetricAlex Caceres
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.42Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Damacio PageAlex Caceres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Damacio Page(3 fights)Alex Caceres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -148.2|Blue +148.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Damacio PageTargetAlex Caceres
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Damacio Page edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control4:22
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 2Damacio Page edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control1:05
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
