Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Islam Makhachev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Islam Makhachev has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jack Della Maddalena (54.1%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack Della Maddalena
oldest →W
vs Bassil Hafez · Jul 23W
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 23W
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 24W
vs Belal Muhammad · May 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · May 26 Islam MakhachevW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Oct 22W
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Feb 23W
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Oct 23W
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Jun 24W
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack Della MaddalenaMetricIslam Makhachev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.08evenly matched on net striking+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack Della MaddalenaIslam Makhachev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Della Maddalena(10 fights)Islam Makhachev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -37.8|Blue +37.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack Della MaddalenaTargetIslam Makhachev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Jack Della Maddalena rounds
Round 1Islam Makhachev edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:52Control
Round 2Islam Makhachev edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
4:05Control
Round 3Islam Makhachev edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:06Control
Round 4Islam Makhachev edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:24Control
Round 5Islam Makhachev edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
0Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:43Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
