Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joshua Weems has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Christian Rodriguez
oldest →L
SUBvs Julian Erosa · Jul 24W
vs Austin Bashi · Jan 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · Mar 25W
SUBvs Hyder Amil · Jun 26 latest Joshua WeemsNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Christian RodriguezMetricJoshua Weems
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00evenly matched on net striking+1.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Christian RodriguezJoshua Weems
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Christian Rodriguez(10 fights)Joshua Weems(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.5|Blue -26.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Christian RodriguezTargetJoshua Weems
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Christian Rodriguez rounds
Round 1Joshua Weems edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:56
18Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:03Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.