Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Erin Blanchfield has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Erin Blanchfield has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sarah Alpar (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Erin BlanchfieldW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Feb 23W
vs Taila Santos · Aug 23L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 24W
vs Rose Namajunas · Nov 24W
SUBvs Tracy Cortez · Nov 25 Sarah Alpar
oldest →L
KOvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Sep 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Erin BlanchfieldMetricSarah Alpar
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.99Δ 4.69 — meaningful gap-3.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Erin BlanchfieldSarah Alpar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Erin Blanchfield(9 fights)Sarah Alpar(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +120.8|Blue -120.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +49.5|Blue -49.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Erin BlanchfieldTargetSarah Alpar
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Erin Blanchfield edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns1
Control2:55
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Erin Blanchfield edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns1
Control3:37
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Erin Blanchfield edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns1
Control3:11
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
