Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25 Peter Sobotta
oldest →W
SUBvs Steve Kennedy · Jun 15W
vs Nicolas Dalby · Sep 16W
KOvs Ben Saunders · May 17L
vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricPeter Sobotta
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.16evenly matched on net striking-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leon EdwardsPeter Sobotta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Peter Sobotta(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +93.0|Blue -93.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -97.0|Blue +97.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leon EdwardsTargetPeter Sobotta
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Leon Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control2:53
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Leon Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control2:54
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Round 3Leon Edwards edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control2:33
6Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
