Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nick Osipczak has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nick OsipczakL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Duane Ludwig · Nov 10 Greg SotoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Matthew Riddle · Mar 10L
SUBvs Daniel Roberts · Jan 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nick OsipczakMetricGreg Soto
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.94Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nick OsipczakGreg Soto
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nick Osipczak(3 fights)Greg Soto(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -139.3|Blue +139.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nick OsipczakTargetGreg Soto
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Greg Soto edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:52
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:19Control
Round 2Greg Soto edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:07
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:01Control
Round 3Greg Soto edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
37Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:42Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
