Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Randy BrownL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jun 24L
vs Bryan Battle · Dec 24W
KOvs Nicolas Dalby · Apr 25L
KOvs Gabriel Bonfim · Nov 25L
DECvs Kevin Holland · Apr 26 Jared Gooden
oldest →L
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Mar 21W
KOvs Niklas Stolze · Jul 21L
vs Carlston Harris · Mar 23W
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Dec 23L
vs Chidi Njokuani · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Randy BrownMetricJared Gooden
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.04Δ 3.38 — meaningful gap-2.34
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Randy BrownJared Gooden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Randy Brown(10 fights)Jared Gooden(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Randy BrownTargetJared Gooden
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Randy Brown edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:01
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 2Randy Brown edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Randy Brown edged it
Sig. strikes50
Takedowns0
Control0:05
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
