Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Arnold Allen has 51pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Arnold Allen (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Arnold Allen
oldest →L
vs Max Holloway · Apr 23L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 24W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jul 24W
DECvs Melquizael Costa · May 26 Jordan Rinaldi
oldest →L
vs Abel Trujillo · May 16W
SUBvs Alvaro Herrera · Aug 17L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Jan 18W
vs Jason Knight · Nov 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Arnold AllenMetricJordan Rinaldi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.43Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Arnold AllenJordan Rinaldi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Arnold Allen(10 fights)Jordan Rinaldi(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +19.6|Blue -19.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +160.0|Blue -160.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Arnold AllenTargetJordan Rinaldi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:57
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Arnold Allen edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Arnold Allen edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
