Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jafel Filho threatens submissions; Daniel Barez has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Daniel Barez has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jafel Filho
oldest →L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Mar 23W
SUBvs Ode Osbourne · Mar 24L
vs Allan Nascimento · May 25W
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Oct 25L
DECvs Cody Durden · Apr 26 Daniel BarezL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Victor Altamirano · Sep 24L
SUBvs Andre Lima · Mar 25L
DECvs Luis Gurule · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jafel FilhoMetricDaniel Barez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.02Δ 2.32 — meaningful gap-2.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jafel FilhoDaniel Barez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jafel Filho(6 fights)Daniel Barez(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +29.6|Blue -29.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jafel FilhoTargetDaniel Barez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control0:55
Knockdowns0
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
1Knockdowns
