Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Buddy Roberts has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Buddy Roberts has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Buddy Roberts
oldest →L
KOvs Yushin Okami · Aug 12 Caio MagalhaesL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Luke Zachrich · Apr 14W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Nov 14L
SUBvs Josh Samman · Jul 15L
vs Brad Tavares · Sep 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Buddy RobertsMetricCaio Magalhaes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.09evenly matched on net striking-0.51
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Buddy Roberts(2 fights)Caio Magalhaes(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +132.3|Blue -132.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Buddy RobertsTargetCaio Magalhaes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Buddy Roberts edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:06
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:22Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:24Control
Round 3Caio Magalhaes edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:00Control
