Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Martin Kampmann has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Paulo ThiagoL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12W
vs Michel Prazeres · May 13L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14 Martin KampmannL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Thiago Alves · Mar 12W
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Jun 12L
KOvs Johny Hendricks · Nov 12L
KOvs Carlos Condit · Aug 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Paulo ThiagoMetricMartin Kampmann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.28evenly matched on net striking-0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Paulo ThiagoMartin Kampmann
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Paulo Thiago(9 fights)Martin Kampmann(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Paulo ThiagoTargetMartin Kampmann
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:59
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 2Martin Kampmann edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:29
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:32Control
Round 3Martin Kampmann edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:06
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:59Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
