Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonardo Mafra enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Leonardo Mafra has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cain Carrizosa has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonardo MafraL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Thiago Perpetuo · Jun 12L
SUBvs Rick Story · Jul 14L
KOvs Stevie Ray · Jul 15 Cain Carrizosa
oldest →L
SUBvs Chris Wade · Aug 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonardo MafraMetricCain Carrizosa
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.17Δ 3.25 — meaningful gap-3.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leonardo MafraCain Carrizosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonardo Mafra(4 fights)Cain Carrizosa(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.0|Blue -136.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +45.0|Blue -45.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leonardo MafraTargetCain Carrizosa
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Leonardo Mafra edged it
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns1
Control0:15
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Leonardo Mafra edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns2
Control2:20
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Round 3Leonardo Mafra edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns2
Control4:16
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
