Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Miguel Baeza enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Khaos Williams is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Miguel Baeza has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miguel BaezaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Brown · May 20W
SUBvs Takashi Sato · Nov 20L
vs Santiago Ponzinibbio · Jun 21L
KOvs Andre Fialho · Apr 22L
vs Punahele Soriano · Jun 24 latest Khaos Williams
oldest →W
vs Rolando Bedoya · May 23W
KOvs Carlston Harris · May 24L
SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Feb 25L
vs Andreas Gustafsson · Jun 25W
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · May 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miguel BaezaMetricKhaos Williams
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.83Δ 1.38 — meaningful gap-0.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Miguel BaezaKhaos Williams
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miguel Baeza(7 fights)Khaos Williams(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -19.2|Blue +19.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Miguel BaezaTargetKhaos Williams
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Khaos Williams edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 2Khaos Williams edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Khaos Williams edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.