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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Yousri Belgaroui won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1487

Elo1545

Azamat BekoevvsYousri BelgarouiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Saturday, October 18, 2025Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Yousri Belgaroui won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:55

Style matchupAzamat Bekoev: WrestlervsYousri Belgaroui: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Azamat Bekoev wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Yousri Belgaroui wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Azamat Bekoev at -295 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yousri Belgaroui is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Azamat Bekoev has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Yousri Belgaroui has 32pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Yousri Belgaroui has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Azamat Bekoev

Red Corner

Yousri Belgaroui

Blue Corner

-295

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1487

Elo

1545

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'6"

182.88 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Azamat Bekoev

oldest →

KOvs Zach Reese · Jan 25

KOvs Ryan Loder · May 25

SUBvs Tresean Gore · Apr 26

latest

Yousri Belgaroui

oldest →

KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Azamat BekoevMetricYousri Belgaroui

4.57

Strikes / min

6.10

6.83

Strikes absorbed / min

2.17

31%

Strike defense

63%

3.48

TDs / 15 min

0.29

62%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.26Δ 6.19 — meaningful gap+3.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Azamat BekoevYousri Belgaroui

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Azamat Bekoev(4 fights)Yousri Belgaroui(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -57.6|Blue +57.6

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Azamat BekoevTargetYousri Belgaroui

By target zone

25% acc · 75%

Head

68% acc · 72%

100% acc · 17%

Body

100% acc · 17%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

92% acc · 12%

By position

29% acc · 92%

Distance

72% acc · 92%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Azamat Bekoev rounds

even

Yousri Belgaroui rounds

Round 1Yousri Belgaroui edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns3

Control2:13

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Yousri Belgaroui edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control1:05

38Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:38Control

Round 3Yousri Belgaroui edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 77

Sig Strikes

102 / 138

26.7%

Sig Str %

76%

27 / 83

Total Strikes

110 / 148

4 / 8

TDs

1 / 1

36.7%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:18

Ctrl Time

0:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yousri Belgaroui	37 / 51	41 / 56	0 / 0
1	Azamat Bekoev	10 / 30	11 / 33	3 / 5
2	Yousri Belgaroui	38 / 57	42 / 62	1 / 1
2	Azamat Bekoev	13 / 41	15 / 44	1 / 2
3	Yousri Belgaroui	27 / 30	27 / 30	0 / 0
3	Azamat Bekoev	1 / 6	1 / 6	0 / 1

Azamat Bekoev

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4

Yousri Belgaroui

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights2