Featherweight

3 Rounds

Austin Lingo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1467

Elo1495

Austin LingovsLuis SaldanaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Saturday, August 21, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Austin Lingo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAustin Lingo: StrikervsLuis Saldana: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Luis Saldana wins(58.2%)

Actual result: Austin Lingo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Luis Saldana at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Austin Lingo has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Austin Lingo

Red Corner

Luis Saldana

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1467

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Austin LingoL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Youssef Zalel · Feb 20

vs Jacob Kilburn · Jan 21

SUBvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 23

vs Melquizael Costa · Jul 23

latest

Luis SaldanaW2 streak

oldest →

vs Jordan Griffin · Apr 21

vs Bruno Souza · Mar 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Austin LingoMetricLuis Saldana

3.86

Strikes / min

5.16

4.86

Strikes absorbed / min

3.65

57%

Strike defense

60%

0.43

TDs / 15 min

0.64

75%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.00Δ 2.51 — meaningful gap+1.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Austin LingoLuis Saldana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Austin Lingo(5 fights)Luis Saldana(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.5|Blue +28.5

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Austin LingoTargetLuis Saldana

By target zone

31% acc · 62%

Head

31% acc · 44%

72% acc · 32%

Body

84% acc · 34%

83% acc · 7%

Leg

94% acc · 22%

By position

41% acc · 100%

Distance

47% acc · 97%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Austin Lingo rounds

even

Luis Saldana rounds

Round 1Luis Saldana edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Austin Lingo edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:12

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Austin Lingo edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control1:19

Knockdowns1

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 181

Sig Strikes

77 / 160

39.3%

Sig Str %

46.7%

74 / 185

Total Strikes

81 / 165

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 5

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:31

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Luis Saldana	34 / 66	34 / 66	0 / 0
1	Austin Lingo	24 / 56	24 / 56	0 / 0
2	Luis Saldana	29 / 61	29 / 61	0 / 1
2	Austin Lingo	33 / 81	33 / 81	0 / 0
3	Luis Saldana	14 / 33	18 / 38	0 / 4
3	Austin Lingo	16 / 44	17 / 48	0 / 0

Austin Lingo

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5

Luis Saldana

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3