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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jose Delgado won · Decision R3

Elo1482

Elo1559

Austin BashivsJose DelgadoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Saturday, July 18, 2026Oklahoma City, USA

Official fight result

Jose Delgado won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Jose Delgado

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Jose Delgado at -105 American odds · hypothetical only

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Style matchupAustin Bashi: WrestlervsJose Delgado: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jose Delgado has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Austin Bashi

Red Corner

Jose Delgado

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

-100

(50%)

1482

Elo

1559

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'11"

177.8 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Austin Bashi

oldest →

vs Christian Rodriguez · Jan 25

SUBvs John Yannis · Aug 25

latest

Jose Delgado

oldest →

KOvs Connor Matthews · Feb 25

KOvs Hyder Amil · Jun 25

vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 25

vs Andre Fili · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Austin BashiMetricJose Delgado

1.75

Strikes / min

7.48

2.34

Strikes absorbed / min

4.95

48%

Strike defense

50%

7.81

TDs / 15 min

1.51

62%

Takedown defense

50%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.59Δ 3.12 — meaningful gap+2.53

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Austin Bashi(3 fights)Jose Delgado(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Layoff

Red +224.0|Blue -224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Austin BashiTargetJose Delgado

By target zone

31% acc · 72%

Head

31% acc · 63%

70% acc · 22%

Body

82% acc · 26%

67% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

33% acc · 81%

Distance

37% acc · 83%

57% acc · 13%

Clinch

83% acc · 14%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Austin Bashi rounds

even

Jose Delgado rounds

Round 1Jose Delgado edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:40

Knockdowns0

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:24Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control1:10

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 3Austin Bashi edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:20

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:19Control

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 87

Sig Strikes

35 / 85

35.3%

Sig Str %

40.7%

54 / 111

Total Strikes

70 / 126

3 / 14

TDs

1 / 3

18.7%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

3:10

Ctrl Time

1:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jose Delgado	12 / 29	38 / 60	0 / 0	0
1	Austin Bashi	10 / 28	11 / 29	1 / 6	0
2	Jose Delgado	13 / 28	15 / 30	0 / 0	0
2	Austin Bashi	7 / 27	13 / 33	2 / 5	0
3	Jose Delgado	10 / 28	17 / 36	1 / 3	0
3	Austin Bashi	15 / 32	30 / 49	0 / 3	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Austin Bashi

Odds

-115

Market-implied probability

Jose Delgado 49%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Austin Bashi$187

Jose Delgado (model pick · research)$195

49% market-implied · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -105 · never rewritten

Austin Bashi

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3

Jose Delgado

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5