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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Cory Sandhagen won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1484

Austin ArnettvsCory SandhagenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · Saturday, January 27, 2018Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Cory Sandhagen won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:48

Style matchupAustin Arnett: Pressure fightervsCory Sandhagen: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Austin Arnett wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Austin Arnett at +170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Austin Arnett

Red Corner

Cory Sandhagen

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1491

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Austin Arnett

oldest →

vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jul 18

vs Humberto Bandenay · Nov 18

vs Shane Young · Feb 19

latest

Cory SandhagenL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rob Font · Aug 23

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25

DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Austin ArnettMetricCory Sandhagen

4.52

Strikes / min

4.86

6.38

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

62%

Strike defense

56%

0.44

TDs / 15 min

1.15

57%

Takedown defense

56%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.86Δ 3.25 — meaningful gap+1.39

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Austin Arnett(4 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +6.9|Blue -6.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Austin ArnettTargetCory Sandhagen

By target zone

35% acc · 91%

Head

45% acc · 59%

50% acc · 9%

Body

72% acc · 29%

Leg

91% acc · 13%

By position

37% acc · 97%

Distance

50% acc · 56%

17% acc · 3%

Clinch

61% acc · 25%

Ground

63% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Austin Arnett rounds

even

Cory Sandhagen rounds

Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:37

48Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:06Control

Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control0:31

Knockdowns0

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 90

Sig Strikes

80 / 147

34.5%

Sig Str %

53.5%

35 / 95

Total Strikes

108 / 179

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:08

Ctrl Time

1:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cory Sandhagen	48 / 86	61 / 101	1 / 1
1	Austin Arnett	23 / 63	26 / 67	0 / 0
2	Cory Sandhagen	32 / 61	47 / 78	0 / 0
2	Austin Arnett	9 / 27	9 / 28	1 / 1

Austin Arnett

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights17