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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aspen Ladd won · U-DEC R3

Elo1422

Elo1494

Aspen LaddvsSijara EubanksUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · Saturday, May 18, 2019Rochester, New York, USA

Official fight result

Aspen Ladd won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAspen Ladd: Well-roundedvsSijara Eubanks: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Sijara Eubanks wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Aspen Ladd wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sijara Eubanks at +220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sijara Eubanks has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Aspen Ladd

Red Corner

Sijara Eubanks

Blue Corner

-260

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1422

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aspen LaddL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tonya Evinger · Oct 18

KOvs Germaine De Randamie · Jul 19

KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Dec 19

vs Norma Dumont · Oct 21

vs Raquel Pennington · Apr 22

latest

Sijara Eubanks

oldest →

vs Julia Avila · Sep 20

vs Ketlen Vieira · Sep 20

vs Pannie Kianzad · Dec 20

KOvs Elise Reed · Jul 21

KOvs Melissa Gatto · Dec 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aspen LaddMetricSijara Eubanks

3.78

Strikes / min

4.30

4.65

Strikes absorbed / min

3.43

47%

Strike defense

57%

1.56

TDs / 15 min

1.90

62%

Takedown defense

66%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap+0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Aspen LaddSijara Eubanks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aspen Ladd(7 fights)Sijara Eubanks(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -71.9|Blue +71.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aspen LaddTargetSijara Eubanks

By target zone

51% acc · 83%

Head

41% acc · 78%

78% acc · 10%

Body

94% acc · 21%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

46% acc · 55%

Distance

44% acc · 79%

70% acc · 20%

Clinch

63% acc · 16%

74% acc · 25%

Ground

80% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aspen Ladd rounds

even

Sijara Eubanks rounds

Round 1Sijara Eubanks edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control2:16

16Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:10Control

Round 2Aspen Ladd edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control3:46

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 3Sijara Eubanks edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:54

54Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

69 / 125

Sig Strikes

77 / 164

52.3%

Sig Str %

50.7%

85 / 143

Total Strikes

80 / 168

3 / 4

TDs

2 / 5

66.7%

TD %

40%

Sub Att

Rev

6:56

Ctrl Time

2:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sijara Eubanks	16 / 24	19 / 28	2 / 5	0
1	Aspen Ladd	7 / 17	8 / 18	2 / 2	1
2	Sijara Eubanks	7 / 16	7 / 16	0 / 0	0
2	Aspen Ladd	22 / 36	34 / 50	1 / 1	2
3	Sijara Eubanks	54 / 124	54 / 124	0 / 0	0
3	Aspen Ladd	40 / 72	43 / 75	0 / 1	0

Aspen Ladd

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7

Sijara Eubanks

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights10