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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Ashley Yoder won · U-DEC R3

Elo1480

Elo1374

Ashley YodervsSyuri KondoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, June 22, 2019Greenville, South Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Ashley Yoder won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAshley Yoder: Well-roundedvsSyuri Kondo: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Syuri Kondo wins(50.9%)

Actual result: Ashley Yoder wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Syuri Kondo at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ashley Yoder enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Syuri Kondo has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Syuri Kondo has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ashley Yoder

Red Corner

Syuri Kondo

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1480

Elo

1374

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'4"

175.26 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ashley YoderL3 streak

oldest →

vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20

vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20

vs Angela Hill · Mar 21

vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21

vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23

latest

Syuri KondoL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Chanmi Jeon · Sep 17

KOvs Poliana Botelho · May 18

DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ashley YoderMetricSyuri Kondo

3.42

Strikes / min

5.40

4.13

Strikes absorbed / min

7.22

47%

Strike defense

58%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

83%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.71Δ 1.11 — meaningful gap-1.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ashley YoderSyuri Kondo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ashley Yoder(10 fights)Syuri Kondo(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +105.9|Blue -105.9

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -2.3|Blue +2.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +14.0|Blue -14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ashley YoderTargetSyuri Kondo

By target zone

73% acc · 81%

Head

52% acc · 74%

80% acc · 16%

Body

86% acc · 26%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

By position

57% acc · 17%

Distance

33% acc · 30%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

81% acc · 57%

79% acc · 76%

Ground

100% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ashley Yoder rounds

even

Syuri Kondo rounds

Round 1Ashley Yoder edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns1

Control4:37

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Ashley Yoder edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control3:59

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Ashley Yoder edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control4:17

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 100

Sig Strikes

23 / 40

73.3%

Sig Str %

53.3%

147 / 194

Total Strikes

35 / 56

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

16.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

12:53

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Syuri Kondo	5 / 7	7 / 9	0 / 0	0
1	Ashley Yoder	38 / 50	57 / 73	1 / 2	0
2	Syuri Kondo	16 / 25	18 / 27	0 / 0	0
2	Ashley Yoder	11 / 16	35 / 44	0 / 2	0
3	Syuri Kondo	2 / 8	10 / 20	0 / 0	1
3	Ashley Yoder	26 / 34	55 / 77	0 / 1	0

Ashley Yoder

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights11

Syuri Kondo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights4