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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Ashley Yoder won · U-DEC

Elo1480

Elo1431

Ashley YodervsMiranda GrangerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, November 14, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ashley Yoder won

U-DEC

Model Prediction: Miranda Granger wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Ashley Yoder wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Miranda Granger at -167 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ashley Yoder enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Miranda Granger has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ashley Yoder has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ashley Yoder

Red Corner

Miranda Granger

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-167

(63%)

1480

Elo

1431

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ashley YoderL5 streak

oldest →

vs Randa Markos · Oct 19

vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20

vs Angela Hill · Mar 21

vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21

vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23

latest

Miranda GrangerL2 streak

oldest →

vs Hannah Goldy · Aug 19

SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Dec 19

SUBvs Cory McKenna · Aug 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ashley YoderMetricMiranda Granger

3.42

Strikes / min

2.79

4.13

Strikes absorbed / min

2.57

47%

Strike defense

57%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

33%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.71evenly matched on net striking+0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ashley YoderMiranda Granger

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ashley Yoder(10 fights)Miranda Granger(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +48.5|Blue -48.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -238.0|Blue +238.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ashley YoderTargetMiranda Granger

By target zone

48% acc · 54%

Head

53% acc · 58%

100% acc · 19%

Body

90% acc · 27%

88% acc · 27%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

48% acc · 46%

Distance

47% acc · 45%

100% acc · 12%

Clinch

93% acc · 42%

79% acc · 42%

Ground

100% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ashley Yoder rounds

even

Miranda Granger rounds

Round 1Miranda Granger edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control1:04

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:13Control

Round 2Miranda Granger edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control2:51

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:03Control

Round 3Ashley Yoder edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control4:24

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 42

Sig Strikes

33 / 51

59%

Sig Str %

64%

151 / 184

Total Strikes

87 / 107

2 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:19

Ctrl Time

3:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Miranda Granger	13 / 19	32 / 38	0 / 0	0
1	Ashley Yoder	6 / 11	25 / 30	1 / 2	2
2	Miranda Granger	13 / 16	36 / 40	0 / 0	0
2	Ashley Yoder	5 / 9	54 / 62	0 / 1	0
3	Miranda Granger	7 / 16	19 / 29	0 / 0	0
3	Ashley Yoder	15 / 22	72 / 92	1 / 1	1

Ashley Yoder

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights11

Miranda Granger

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4