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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Ashley Yoder won · S-DEC R3

Elo1480

Elo1369

Ashley YodervsAmanda CooperUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, November 10, 2018Denver, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

Ashley Yoder won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAshley Yoder: Well-roundedvsAmanda Cooper: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Ashley Yoder wins(51.1%)

Actual result: Ashley Yoder wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ashley Yoder at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ashley Yoder enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ashley Yoder has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Cooper (54.1%).
Ashley Yoder has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ashley Yoder

Red Corner

Amanda Cooper

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1480

Elo

1369

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'3"

175.26 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ashley YoderL3 streak

oldest →

vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20

vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20

vs Angela Hill · Mar 21

vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21

vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23

latest

Amanda Cooper

oldest →

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Jul 16

vs Anna Elmose · Nov 16

SUBvs Cynthia Calvillo · Mar 17

KOvs Angela Magana · Dec 17

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · May 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ashley YoderMetricAmanda Cooper

3.42

Strikes / min

3.55

4.13

Strikes absorbed / min

3.20

47%

Strike defense

51%

1.09

TDs / 15 min

1.53

66%

Takedown defense

28%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.71Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ashley YoderAmanda Cooper

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ashley Yoder(10 fights)Amanda Cooper(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +111.0|Blue -111.0

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ashley YoderTargetAmanda Cooper

By target zone

38% acc · 84%

Head

37% acc · 55%

100% acc · 16%

Body

64% acc · 18%

Leg

88% acc · 27%

By position

36% acc · 74%

Distance

43% acc · 75%

100% acc · 13%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

63% acc · 13%

Ground

85% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ashley Yoder rounds

even

Amanda Cooper rounds

Round 1Amanda Cooper edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:32

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 2Amanda Cooper edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:40

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:12Control

Round 3Amanda Cooper edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control2:10

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:38Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

38 / 90

Sig Strikes

51 / 105

44.3%

Sig Str %

49%

59 / 113

Total Strikes

67 / 121

1 / 2

TDs

2 / 6

50%

TD %

27.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:22

Ctrl Time

5:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Amanda Cooper	20 / 41	22 / 43	1 / 2	0
1	Ashley Yoder	13 / 32	19 / 39	0 / 0	0
2	Amanda Cooper	14 / 25	23 / 34	1 / 3	0
2	Ashley Yoder	14 / 22	25 / 33	1 / 2	1
3	Amanda Cooper	17 / 39	22 / 44	0 / 1	2
3	Ashley Yoder	11 / 36	15 / 41	0 / 0	2

Ashley Yoder

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights11

Amanda Cooper

StanceSwitch

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights6