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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Norma Dumont won · U-DEC

Elo1468

Elo1516

Ashlee Evans-SmithvsNorma DumontUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · Saturday, November 28, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Norma Dumont won

U-DEC

Style matchupAshlee Evans-Smith: Pressure fightervsNorma Dumont: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Norma Dumont wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Norma Dumont wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Norma Dumont at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Norma Dumont has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Norma Dumont has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Red Corner

Norma Dumont

Blue Corner

-137

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1468

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ashlee Evans-SmithL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ketlen Vieira · Apr 17

SUBvs Sarah Moras · Sep 17

vs Bec Rawlings · Apr 18

vs Andrea Lee · Feb 19

vs Ailin Perez · Jul 23

latest

Norma Dumont

oldest →

vs Chelsea Chandler · Jul 23

vs Germaine de Randamie · Apr 24

vs Irene Aldana · Sep 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 25

DECvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ashlee Evans-SmithMetricNorma Dumont

4.03

Strikes / min

3.85

4.59

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

53%

Strike defense

64%

0.95

TDs / 15 min

1.43

50%

Takedown defense

71%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.56Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap+1.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ashlee Evans-SmithNorma Dumont

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)Norma Dumont(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +2.2|Blue -2.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +377.0|Blue -377.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ashlee Evans-SmithTargetNorma Dumont

By target zone

11% acc · 29%

Head

55% acc · 83%

49% acc · 40%

Body

73% acc · 9%

62% acc · 31%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

24% acc · 88%

Distance

55% acc · 76%

63% acc · 12%

Clinch

69% acc · 10%

Ground

78% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ashlee Evans-Smith rounds

even

Norma Dumont rounds

Round 1Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:49Control

Round 2Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:01

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:33Control

Round 3Norma Dumont edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns0

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 164

Sig Strikes

94 / 161

24%

Sig Str %

58.7%

47 / 169

Total Strikes

109 / 178

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 4

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

4:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Norma Dumont	33 / 56	36 / 59	1 / 1
1	Ashlee Evans-Smith	20 / 63	22 / 65	0 / 0
2	Norma Dumont	21 / 33	33 / 47	1 / 2
2	Ashlee Evans-Smith	6 / 33	6 / 33	0 / 1
3	Norma Dumont	40 / 72	40 / 72	0 / 1
3	Ashlee Evans-Smith	16 / 68	19 / 71	0 / 1

Ashlee Evans-Smith

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9

Norma Dumont

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12