Featherweight

3 Rounds

Artem Lobov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1368

Elo1358

Artem LobovvsChris AvilaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · Saturday, August 20, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Artem Lobov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Artem Lobov wins(60.8%)

Actual result: Artem Lobov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Artem Lobov at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Artem Lobov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Artem Lobov (53.5%).
Chris Avila has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Artem Lobov

Red Corner

Chris Avila

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1368

Elo

1358

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

165.1 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Artem LobovL3 streak

oldest →

vs Alex White · Feb 16

vs Teruto Ishihara · Nov 16

vs Cub Swanson · Apr 17

vs Andre Fili · Oct 17

vs Michael Johnson · Oct 18

latest

Chris Avila

oldest →

vs Enrique Barzola · Nov 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Artem LobovMetricChris Avila

3.52

Strikes / min

2.37

4.82

Strikes absorbed / min

4.17

50%

Strike defense

48%

0.39

TDs / 15 min

0.00

52%

Takedown defense

46%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.30evenly matched on net striking-1.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Artem LobovChris Avila

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Artem Lobov(7 fights)Chris Avila(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.0|Blue -10.0

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Artem LobovTargetChris Avila

By target zone

22% acc · 28%

Head

26% acc · 64%

58% acc · 21%

Body

40% acc · 14%

93% acc · 51%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

44% acc · 91%

Distance

32% acc · 86%

56% acc · 9%

Clinch

42% acc · 12%

Ground

50% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Artem Lobov rounds

even

Chris Avila rounds

Round 1Artem Lobov edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:14

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:11

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 3Chris Avila edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:08

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 117

Sig Strikes

42 / 128

44%

Sig Str %

32%

63 / 128

Total Strikes

63 / 150

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:33

Ctrl Time

0:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chris Avila	11 / 37	22 / 49	0 / 0
1	Artem Lobov	24 / 42	26 / 44	0 / 0
2	Chris Avila	17 / 47	24 / 54	0 / 1
2	Artem Lobov	18 / 44	21 / 47	0 / 1
3	Chris Avila	14 / 44	17 / 47	0 / 0
3	Artem Lobov	11 / 31	16 / 37	0 / 0

Artem Lobov

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights7

Chris Avila

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2