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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Andre Fili won · U-DEC R3
Elo1368
Elo1479
Andre Fili

Artem LobovvsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · Saturday, October 21, 2017Gdansk, Poland

Official fight result

Andre Fili won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupArtem Lobov: StrikervsAndre Fili: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Artem Lobov wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Andre Fili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Artem Lobov at +150 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Fili has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Artem Lobov (53.5%).
  • Andre Fili has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Artem Lobov
Red Corner
VS
Andre Fili
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
1368
Elo
1479
39
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
165.1 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Artem LobovL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Alex White · Feb 16
W
vs Chris Avila · Aug 16
W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Nov 16
L
vs Cub Swanson · Apr 17
L
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 18
latest
Andre FiliL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24
L
SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25
L
vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26
L
KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Artem LobovMetricAndre Fili
3.52
Strikes / min
3.88
4.82
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
50%
Strike defense
50%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
2.32
52%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.30evenly matched on net striking-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1489 vs 1501Strikes56.6 vs 35.9Takedowns0.6 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.13Form-0.1 vs -0.4
Artem LobovAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Artem Lobov(7 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -110.9|Blue +110.9
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Artem LobovTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

17
25% acc · 31%
Head
32
27% acc · 58%
14
58% acc · 25%
Body
5
56% acc · 9%
24
100% acc · 44%
Leg
18
100% acc · 33%

By position

54
47% acc · 98%
Distance
49
37% acc · 89%
1
50% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
6
67% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Artem Lobov rounds
1
even
2
Andre Fili rounds
Round 1Andre Fili edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:21
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:39Control
Round 3Andre Fili edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
3:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
55 / 116
Sig Strikes
55 / 145
48.7%
Sig Str %
40.3%
77 / 140
Total Strikes
76 / 166
0 / 2
TDs
5 / 6
0%
TD %
75%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:21
Ctrl Time
4:28

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Fili30 / 7731 / 780 / 00
1Artem Lobov23 / 4823 / 480 / 00
2Andre Fili18 / 5421 / 571 / 20
2Artem Lobov22 / 5033 / 620 / 20
3Andre Fili7 / 1424 / 314 / 40
3Artem Lobov10 / 1821 / 300 / 00

Artem Lobov

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights26