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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Alex White won · U-DEC R3
Elo1368
Elo1492
Alex White

Artem LobovvsAlex WhiteUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · Saturday, February 6, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alex White won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupArtem Lobov: StrikervsAlex White: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Alex White wins(50.7%)

Actual result: Alex White wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex White at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Artem Lobov enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Alex White has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Alex White has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Alex White has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Artem Lobov
Red Corner
VS
Alex White
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
1368
Elo
1492
39
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
165.1 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Artem LobovL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Chris Avila · Aug 16
W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Nov 16
L
vs Cub Swanson · Apr 17
L
vs Andre Fili · Oct 17
L
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 18
latest
Alex White
oldest →
W
KOvs Mitch Clarke · Sep 17
L
vs James Krause · Jan 18
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · Sep 18
W
vs Dan Moret · Mar 19
L
vs Rafael Fiziev · Oct 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Artem LobovMetricAlex White
3.52
Strikes / min
3.76
4.82
Strikes absorbed / min
3.07
50%
Strike defense
60%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
0.92
52%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.30Δ 1.99 — meaningful gap+0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1482Strikes2.0 vs 40.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.33Form-1.0 vs -0.5
Artem LobovAlex White

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Artem Lobov(7 fights)Alex White(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -123.5|Blue +123.5
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -370.0|Blue +370.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Artem LobovTargetAlex White

By target zone

17
18% acc · 74%
Head
36
31% acc · 46%
5
45% acc · 22%
Body
27
69% acc · 35%
1
100% acc · 4%
Leg
15
83% acc · 19%

By position

22
21% acc · 96%
Distance
67
43% acc · 86%
1
20% acc · 4%
Clinch
10
71% acc · 13%
0
Ground
1
50% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Artem Lobov rounds
0
even
3
Alex White rounds
Round 1Alex White edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:42
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:58Control
Round 2Alex White edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:30
30Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3Alex White edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control2:09
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
23 / 108
Sig Strikes
78 / 172
21.3%
Sig Str %
45%
32 / 118
Total Strikes
102 / 197
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 7
—
TD %
44.3%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:21
Ctrl Time
1:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alex White25 / 5236 / 641 / 20
1Artem Lobov9 / 3215 / 390 / 00
2Alex White30 / 6632 / 681 / 20
2Artem Lobov8 / 449 / 450 / 00
3Alex White23 / 5434 / 651 / 30
3Artem Lobov6 / 328 / 340 / 00

Artem Lobov

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7

Alex White

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10