Featherweight

3 Rounds

Arnold Allen won · U-DEC

Elo1511

Elo1486

Arnold AllenvsSodiq YusuffUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · Saturday, April 10, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Arnold Allen won

U-DEC

Style matchupArnold Allen: Well-roundedvsSodiq Yusuff: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Sodiq Yusuff wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Arnold Allen wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sodiq Yusuff at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sodiq Yusuff enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Arnold Allen (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Arnold Allen

Red Corner

Sodiq Yusuff

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1511

Elo

1486

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Arnold Allen

oldest →

vs Max Holloway · Apr 23

vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 24

vs Giga Chikadze · Jul 24

vs Jean Silva · Jan 26

DECvs Melquizael Costa · May 26

latest

Sodiq YusuffL3 streak

oldest →

vs Alex Caceres · Mar 22

SUBvs Don Shainis · Oct 22

vs Edson Barboza · Oct 23

KOvs Diego Lopes · Apr 24

vs Mairon Santos · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Arnold AllenMetricSodiq Yusuff

3.47

Strikes / min

5.27

3.04

Strikes absorbed / min

4.29

60%

Strike defense

53%

0.86

TDs / 15 min

0.36

71%

Takedown defense

62%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Arnold AllenSodiq Yusuff

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Arnold Allen(10 fights)Sodiq Yusuff(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +25.1|Blue -25.1

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Arnold AllenTargetSodiq Yusuff

By target zone

28% acc · 71%

Head

28% acc · 51%

86% acc · 29%

Body

71% acc · 26%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 23%

By position

31% acc · 76%

Distance

34% acc · 62%

67% acc · 19%

Clinch

67% acc · 38%

33% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Arnold Allen rounds

even

Sodiq Yusuff rounds

Round 1Arnold Allen edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns2

Control2:37

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Sodiq Yusuff edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control1:01

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Sodiq Yusuff edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control1:31

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:19Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

21 / 61

Sig Strikes

47 / 113

33.7%

Sig Str %

43%

26 / 68

Total Strikes

79 / 164

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:09

Ctrl Time

2:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sodiq Yusuff	13 / 30	19 / 38	0 / 0	1
1	Arnold Allen	10 / 28	11 / 30	2 / 2	0
2	Sodiq Yusuff	18 / 53	29 / 66	0 / 0	0
2	Arnold Allen	9 / 27	13 / 31	0 / 0	0
3	Sodiq Yusuff	16 / 30	31 / 60	0 / 1	0
3	Arnold Allen	2 / 6	2 / 7	0 / 3	0

Arnold Allen

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights14

Sodiq Yusuff

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10