Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Movsar Evloev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Arnold Allen (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Arnold Allen
oldest →W
KOvs Calvin Kattar · Oct 22L
vs Max Holloway · Apr 23W
vs Giga Chikadze · Jul 24W
DECvs Melquizael Costa · May 26 Movsar EvloevW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Jun 21W
vs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 24W
vs Lerone Murphy · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Arnold AllenMetricMovsar Evloev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.43evenly matched on net striking+1.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Arnold AllenMovsar Evloev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Arnold Allen(10 fights)Movsar Evloev(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -25.2|Blue +25.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Arnold AllenTargetMovsar Evloev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:31Control
Round 2Movsar Evloev edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:59Control
Round 3Arnold Allen edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns0
Control0:03
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
