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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Armen Petrosyan won · S-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1548

Gregory Rodrigues editorial illustration

Armen PetrosyanvsGregory RodriguesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Saturday, February 26, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Armen Petrosyan won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupArmen Petrosyan: StrikervsGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins(69.4%)

Actual result: Armen Petrosyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gregory Rodrigues at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Gregory Rodrigues has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Gregory Rodrigues has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Armen Petrosyan

Red Corner

Gregory Rodrigues

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1484

Elo

1548

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Armen PetrosyanL3 streak

oldest →

vs AJ Dobson · Oct 22

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jun 23

SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 24

KOvs Shara Magomedov · Oct 24

SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 25

latest

Gregory RodriguesW3 streak

oldest →

vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24

KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25

KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25

vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25

KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Armen PetrosyanMetricGregory Rodrigues

5.84

Strikes / min

5.53

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.78

53%

Strike defense

50%

0.17

TDs / 15 min

1.90

41%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.53Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap+0.75

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Armen PetrosyanGregory Rodrigues

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Armen Petrosyan(7 fights)Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -64.4|Blue +64.4

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Armen PetrosyanTargetGregory Rodrigues

By target zone

36% acc · 39%

Head

39% acc · 74%

81% acc · 30%

Body

75% acc · 15%

87% acc · 31%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

127

55% acc · 100%

Distance

46% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Armen Petrosyan rounds

even

Gregory Rodrigues rounds

Round 1Armen Petrosyan edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Armen Petrosyan edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Armen Petrosyan edged it

Sig. strikes51

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

127 / 231

Sig Strikes

61 / 133

54%

Sig Str %

45.7%

128 / 232

Total Strikes

61 / 133

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gregory Rodrigues	18 / 40	18 / 40	0 / 0	0
1	Armen Petrosyan	41 / 72	41 / 72	0 / 0	0
2	Gregory Rodrigues	24 / 51	24 / 51	1 / 1	0
2	Armen Petrosyan	35 / 75	36 / 76	0 / 0	0
3	Gregory Rodrigues	19 / 42	19 / 42	1 / 2	2
3	Armen Petrosyan	51 / 84	51 / 84	0 / 0	0

Armen Petrosyan

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Gregory Rodrigues

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights13