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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Arman Tsarukyan won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1531

Elo1507

Arman TsarukyanvsJoaquim SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Saturday, June 17, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Arman Tsarukyan won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:25

Style matchupArman Tsarukyan: WrestlervsJoaquim Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Arman Tsarukyan wins(86.4%)

Actual result: Arman Tsarukyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Arman Tsarukyan at -1200 American odds

+$8 profit

$108 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Joaquim Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Arman Tsarukyan

Red Corner

Joaquim Silva

Blue Corner

-1200

(92%)

Vegas Odds

+750

(12%)

1531

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Arman TsarukyanW4 streak

oldest →

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Jun 22

vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23

vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24

SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25

latest

Joaquim Silva

oldest →

KOvs Ricky Glenn · Jun 21

KOvs Jesse Ronson · Oct 22

vs Clay Guida · Dec 23

vs Drakkar Klose · May 24

vs Claudio Puelles · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Arman TsarukyanMetricJoaquim Silva

3.85

Strikes / min

3.43

1.80

Strikes absorbed / min

4.17

54%

Strike defense

53%

3.26

TDs / 15 min

0.34

75%

Takedown defense

70%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.05Δ 2.79 — meaningful gap-0.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Arman TsarukyanJoaquim Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)Joaquim Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.1|Blue -24.1

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Arman TsarukyanTargetJoaquim Silva

By target zone

67% acc · 80%

Head

41% acc · 48%

76% acc · 16%

Body

82% acc · 39%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

50% acc · 40%

Distance

44% acc · 48%

88% acc · 9%

Clinch

77% acc · 43%

95% acc · 51%

Ground

67% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Arman Tsarukyan rounds

even

Joaquim Silva rounds

Round 1Arman Tsarukyan edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control4:26

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Arman Tsarukyan edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control1:47

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Arman Tsarukyan edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns2

Control2:48

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 115

Sig Strikes

23 / 41

75.3%

Sig Str %

60.3%

134 / 175

Total Strikes

77 / 96

4 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

88.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Joaquim Silva	2 / 3	27 / 28	0 / 0
1	Arman Tsarukyan	12 / 13	28 / 29	1 / 1
2	Joaquim Silva	16 / 30	41 / 56	0 / 0
2	Arman Tsarukyan	33 / 57	39 / 63	1 / 1
3	Joaquim Silva	5 / 8	9 / 12	0 / 0
3	Arman Tsarukyan	35 / 45	67 / 83	2 / 3

Arman Tsarukyan

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11

Joaquim Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights12