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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Arman Tsarukyan won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1531

Elo1495

Arman TsarukyanvsChristos GiagosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Saturday, September 18, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Arman Tsarukyan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:09

Style matchupArman Tsarukyan: WrestlervsChristos Giagos: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Arman Tsarukyan wins(76.5%)

Actual result: Arman Tsarukyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Arman Tsarukyan at -850 American odds

+$12 profit

$112 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Arman Tsarukyan

Red Corner

Christos Giagos

Blue Corner

-850

(89%)

Vegas Odds

+575

(15%)

1531

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Arman TsarukyanW5 streak

oldest →

vs Damir Ismagulov · Dec 22

KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jun 23

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Dec 23

vs Charles Oliveira · Apr 24

SUBvs Dan Hooker · Nov 25

latest

Christos GiagosL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sean Soriano · May 21

SUBvs Thiago Moises · Jun 22

KOvs Ricky Glenn · Apr 23

SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23

KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Arman TsarukyanMetricChristos Giagos

3.85

Strikes / min

3.03

1.80

Strikes absorbed / min

3.21

54%

Strike defense

50%

3.26

TDs / 15 min

2.84

75%

Takedown defense

52%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.05Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Arman TsarukyanChristos Giagos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Arman Tsarukyan(10 fights)Christos Giagos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +36.2|Blue -36.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +301.0|Blue -301.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Arman TsarukyanTargetChristos Giagos

By target zone

72% acc · 95%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 5%

Body

100% acc · 100%

0% acc

Leg

By position

40% acc · 18%

Distance

20% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

86% acc · 82%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Arman Tsarukyan rounds

even

Christos Giagos rounds

Round 1Arman Tsarukyan edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:11

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 31

Sig Strikes

1 / 6

70%

Sig Str %

16%

27 / 37

Total Strikes

4 / 11

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Christos Giagos	1 / 6	4 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Arman Tsarukyan	22 / 31	27 / 37	0 / 1	0

Arman Tsarukyan

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11

Christos Giagos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights14