Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Arjan Bhullar won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1372

Arjan BhullarvsMarcelo GolmUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · Saturday, October 27, 2018Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

Official fight result

Arjan Bhullar won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Marcelo Golm wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Arjan Bhullar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marcelo Golm at +140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Arjan Bhullar has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Arjan Bhullar

Red Corner

Marcelo Golm

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+140

(42%)

1492

Elo

1372

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Arjan Bhullar

oldest →

vs Luis Henrique · Sep 17

SUBvs Adam Wieczorek · Apr 18

vs Juan Adams · May 19

latest

Marcelo GolmL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Christian Colombo · Oct 17

DECvs Tim Johnson · Feb 18

KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Arjan BhullarMetricMarcelo Golm

2.33

Strikes / min

4.27

3.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.30

59%

Strike defense

45%

1.73

TDs / 15 min

0.45

100%

Takedown defense

87%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Arjan BhullarMarcelo Golm

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Arjan Bhullar(4 fights)Marcelo Golm(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +119.4|Blue -119.4

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Arjan BhullarTargetMarcelo Golm

By target zone

53% acc · 85%

Head

30% acc · 40%

100% acc · 9%

Body

77% acc · 23%

75% acc · 6%

Leg

94% acc · 37%

By position

47% acc · 55%

Distance

44% acc · 79%

67% acc · 26%

Clinch

90% acc · 21%

82% acc · 19%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Arjan Bhullar rounds

even

Marcelo Golm rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:37

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control2:17

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 3Arjan Bhullar edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control4:04

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

47 / 84

Sig Strikes

43 / 87

55.7%

Sig Str %

51%

99 / 140

Total Strikes

59 / 103

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:58

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Marcelo Golm	23 / 45	25 / 47	0 / 0
1	Arjan Bhullar	21 / 37	26 / 42	0 / 0
2	Marcelo Golm	16 / 35	21 / 40	0 / 1
2	Arjan Bhullar	12 / 25	28 / 42	0 / 1
3	Marcelo Golm	4 / 7	13 / 16	0 / 0
3	Arjan Bhullar	14 / 22	45 / 56	1 / 1

Arjan Bhullar

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Marcelo Golm

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4