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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Arjan Bhullar won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1381

Arjan BhullarvsJuan AdamsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · Saturday, May 4, 2019Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Arjan Bhullar won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Juan Adams wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Arjan Bhullar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Juan Adams at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Arjan Bhullar has 25pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Arjan Bhullar has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Juan Adams has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Arjan Bhullar

Red Corner

Juan Adams

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1492

Elo

1381

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'5"

190.5 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Arjan Bhullar

oldest →

vs Luis Henrique · Sep 17

SUBvs Adam Wieczorek · Apr 18

vs Marcelo Golm · Oct 18

latest

Juan AdamsL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Dec 18

KOvs Greg Hardy · Jul 19

KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Arjan BhullarMetricJuan Adams

2.33

Strikes / min

7.09

3.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.06

59%

Strike defense

34%

1.73

TDs / 15 min

0.91

100%

Takedown defense

57%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.92Δ 3.95 — meaningful gap+3.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Arjan BhullarJuan Adams

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Arjan Bhullar(4 fights)Juan Adams(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +111.0|Blue -111.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Arjan BhullarTargetJuan Adams

By target zone

60% acc · 78%

Head

35% acc · 69%

100% acc · 20%

Body

91% acc · 26%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

49% acc · 44%

Distance

34% acc · 62%

90% acc · 46%

Clinch

83% acc · 37%

100% acc · 10%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Arjan Bhullar rounds

even

Juan Adams rounds

Round 1Juan Adams edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:09

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Juan Adams edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control2:21

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:48Control

Round 3Juan Adams edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:48

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 62

Sig Strikes

81 / 185

67.3%

Sig Str %

45%

69 / 94

Total Strikes

107 / 212

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:18

Ctrl Time

1:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Juan Adams	35 / 89	40 / 94	0 / 0
1	Arjan Bhullar	20 / 32	20 / 32	0 / 0
2	Juan Adams	23 / 51	35 / 63	0 / 0
2	Arjan Bhullar	10 / 13	26 / 31	1 / 1
3	Juan Adams	23 / 45	32 / 55	0 / 0
3	Arjan Bhullar	11 / 17	23 / 31	1 / 1

Arjan Bhullar

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Juan Adams

StanceOrthodox

Height77.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights4