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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Molly McCann won · U-DEC R3
Elo1495
Elo1491

Ariane LipskivsMolly McCannUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, June 22, 2019Greenville, South Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Molly McCann won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Molly McCann wins(74.7%)

Actual result: Molly McCann wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Molly McCann at +215 American odds

+$215 profit

$315 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ariane Lipski has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ariane Lipski
Red Corner
VS
Molly McCann
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+215
(32%)
1495
Elo
1491
25
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ariane Lipski
oldest →
W
SUBvs Luana Carolina · Jul 20
L
KOvs Antonina Shevchenko · Nov 20
L
KOvs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 21
W
vs Mandy Bohm · Sep 21
L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 22
latest
Molly McCannL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 22
L
SUBvs Julija Stoliarenko · Jul 23
W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Feb 24
L
vs Bruna Brasil · Jul 24
L
SUBvs Alexia Thainara · Mar 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ariane LipskiMetricMolly McCann
Strikes / min
5.28
Strikes absorbed / min
4.65
Strike defense
62%
TDs / 15 min
1.78
Takedown defense
38%
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1501Strikes3.4 vs 6.5Takedowns0.3 vs 2.6Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.90Form-1.0 vs 0.4
Ariane LipskiMolly McCann

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ariane Lipski(8 fights)Molly McCann(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +3.5|Blue -3.5
Recent Form
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ariane Lipski

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4

Molly McCann

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights14