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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ariane Lipski won · U-DEC R3
Elo1495
Elo1498

Ariane LipskivsMandy BohmUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Saturday, September 18, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ariane Lipski won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ariane Lipski wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Ariane Lipski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ariane Lipski at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ariane Lipski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Mandy Bohm has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ariane Lipski
Red Corner
VS
Mandy Bohm
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
1495
Elo
1498
27
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ariane LipskiL3 streak
oldest →
W
DECvs Isabela De Pauda · Nov 19
W
SUBvs Luana Carolina · Jul 20
L
KOvs Antonina Shevchenko · Nov 20
L
KOvs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 21
L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 22
latest
Mandy Bohm
oldest →
L
vs Victoria Leonardo · Jul 22
W
vs Ji Yeon Kim · May 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ariane LipskiMetricMandy Bohm
—
Strikes / min
2.51
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.24
—
Strike defense
60%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.72
—
Takedown defense
75%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1474 vs 1500Strikes3.3 vs 2.4Takedowns0.2 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs 0.0
Ariane LipskiMandy Bohm

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ariane Lipski(8 fights)Mandy Bohm(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ariane Lipski

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4

Mandy Bohm

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3