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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Wang Cong won · U-DEC R3

Elo1487

Elo1562

Ariane da SilvavsWang CongUFC Prediction Result

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Saturday, June 7, 2025Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Wang Cong won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAriane da Silva: Pressure fightervsWang Cong: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Wang Cong wins(66.7%)

Actual result: Wang Cong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Wang Cong at -650 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Wang Cong enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Wang Cong has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Wang Cong has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Wang Cong (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ariane da Silva

Red Corner

Wang Cong

Blue Corner

+460

(18%)

Vegas Odds

-650

(87%)

1487

Elo

1562

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ariane da SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 23

vs Melissa Gatto · Jul 23

SUBvs Casey O'Neill · Dec 23

vs Karine Silva · Apr 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Nov 24

latest

Wang CongW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Victoria Leonardo · Aug 24

SUBvs Gabriella Fernandes · Nov 24

vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 25

vs Eduarda Moura · Feb 26

DECvs Tracy Cortez · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ariane da SilvaMetricWang Cong

4.05

Strikes / min

6.22

4.40

Strikes absorbed / min

2.19

50%

Strike defense

63%

0.47

TDs / 15 min

0.78

68%

Takedown defense

84%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.35Δ 4.38 — meaningful gap+4.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ariane da SilvaWang Cong

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ariane da Silva(6 fights)Wang Cong(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -75.4|Blue +75.4

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ariane da SilvaTargetWang Cong

By target zone

26% acc · 49%

Head

51% acc · 52%

54% acc · 32%

Body

90% acc · 20%

67% acc · 19%

Leg

93% acc · 28%

By position

34% acc · 87%

Distance

127

62% acc · 89%

67% acc · 13%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ariane da Silva rounds

even

Wang Cong rounds

Round 1Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns0

42Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Wang Cong edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

55Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 176

Sig Strikes

143 / 222

36%

Sig Str %

64.7%

65 / 178

Total Strikes

147 / 226

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Wang Cong	46 / 65	48 / 67	0 / 0
1	Ariane da Silva	17 / 41	17 / 41	0 / 2
2	Wang Cong	42 / 64	44 / 66	0 / 0
2	Ariane da Silva	19 / 59	21 / 61	0 / 1
3	Wang Cong	55 / 93	55 / 93	0 / 0
3	Ariane da Silva	27 / 76	27 / 76	0 / 1

Ariane da Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Wang Cong

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6