Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karine Silva threatens submissions; Ariane da Silva has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ariane da Silva has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ariane da SilvaL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Melissa Gatto · Jul 23W
SUBvs Casey O'Neill · Dec 23L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Nov 24 Karine SilvaL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Aug 23L
vs Viviane Araujo · Nov 24W
vs Dione Barbosa · Aug 25L
vs Maycee Barber · Dec 25L
DECvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ariane da SilvaMetricKarine Silva
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.35evenly matched on net striking-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ariane da SilvaKarine Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ariane da Silva(6 fights)Karine Silva(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -8.5|Blue +8.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ariane da SilvaTargetKarine Silva
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control1:43
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:58Control
Round 2Karine Silva edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:39Control
Round 3Ariane da Silva edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:23
13Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:55Control
