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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aoriqileng won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1478

AoriqilengvsJohnny MunozUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · Saturday, October 7, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aoriqileng won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAoriqileng: Pressure fightervsJohnny Munoz: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Aoriqileng wins(61.6%)

Actual result: Aoriqileng wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Aoriqileng

Red Corner

Johnny Munoz

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1491

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aoriqileng

oldest →

vs Jay Perrin · Aug 22

KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 24

KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25

KOvs Cody Haddon · May 26

latest

Johnny Munoz

oldest →

vs Nate Maness · Aug 20

SUBvs Jamey Simmons · Aug 21

KOvs Tony Gravely · Jun 22

vs Liudvik Sholinian · Nov 22

vs Daniel Santos · Jun 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

AoriqilengMetricJohnny Munoz

4.69

Strikes / min

2.44

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

2.66

48%

Strike defense

55%

1.20

TDs / 15 min

2.40

58%

Takedown defense

45%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.78evenly matched on net striking-0.22

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

AoriqilengJohnny Munoz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aoriqileng(9 fights)Johnny Munoz(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.4|Blue -12.4

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

AoriqilengTargetJohnny Munoz

By target zone

59% acc · 55%

Head

17% acc · 71%

73% acc · 18%

Body

67% acc · 29%

86% acc · 27%

Leg

0% acc

By position

62% acc · 64%

Distance

21% acc · 100%

33% acc · 2%

Clinch

0% acc

83% acc · 34%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aoriqileng rounds

even

Johnny Munoz rounds

Round 1Johnny Munoz edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:03

1Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:56Control

Round 2Aoriqileng edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control3:33

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:27Control

Round 3Aoriqileng edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control2:03

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:07Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 66

Sig Strikes

7 / 36

65.7%

Sig Str %

17.7%

120 / 159

Total Strikes

31 / 73

2 / 4

TDs

4 / 11

50%

TD %

31%

Sub Att

Rev

5:39

Ctrl Time

4:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Munoz	1 / 10	10 / 28	3 / 5	1
1	Aoriqileng	7 / 11	23 / 32	0 / 0	0
2	Johnny Munoz	1 / 5	5 / 10	0 / 3	1
2	Aoriqileng	13 / 19	51 / 61	1 / 2	0
3	Johnny Munoz	5 / 21	16 / 35	1 / 3	1
3	Aoriqileng	24 / 36	46 / 66	1 / 2	0

Aoriqileng

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9

Johnny Munoz

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6