Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cody Haddon won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1533

AoriqilengvsCody HaddonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Official fight result

Cody Haddon won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:11

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Cody Haddon

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Cody Haddon at -361 American odds · hypothetical only

+$28 profit

$128 total returned

Style matchupAoriqileng: Pressure fightervsCody Haddon: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Cody Haddon wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Cody Haddon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cody Haddon is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Aoriqileng has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Cody Haddon has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cody Haddon has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Aoriqileng

Red Corner

Cody Haddon

Blue Corner

+281

(26%)

Vegas Odds

-361

(78%)

1491

Elo

1533

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aoriqileng

oldest →

vs Jay Perrin · Aug 22

KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23

vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23

vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 24

KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25

latest

Cody Haddon

oldest →

vs Dan Argueta · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

AoriqilengMetricCody Haddon

4.69

Strikes / min

9.20

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

48%

Strike defense

64%

1.20

TDs / 15 min

2.48

58%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.78Δ 6.51 — meaningful gap+5.73

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aoriqileng(9 fights)Cody Haddon(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -42.2|Blue +42.2

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -371.0|Blue +371.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

AoriqilengTargetCody Haddon

By target zone

44% acc · 67%

Head

78% acc · 81%

100% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

67% acc · 100%

Distance

47% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 7%

0% acc

Ground

92% acc · 79%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aoriqileng rounds

even

Cody Haddon rounds

Round 1Cody Haddon edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:13Control

Round 2Cody Haddon edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 11

Sig Strikes

57 / 70

58%

Sig Str %

80%

12 / 17

Total Strikes

84 / 105

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 6

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

5:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Haddon	40 / 48	64 / 80	2 / 3	0
1	Aoriqileng	2 / 3	6 / 7	0 / 0	0
2	Cody Haddon	17 / 22	20 / 25	0 / 3	0
2	Aoriqileng	4 / 8	6 / 10	0 / 0	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Cody Haddon

Odds

-361

Market-implied probability

Cody Haddon 75%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Aoriqileng$381

Cody Haddon (model pick · research)$128

75% market-implied · model 48% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked May 29, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC · never rewritten

Aoriqileng

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9

Cody Haddon

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2