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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Aoriqileng won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1423

AoriqilengvsCameron ElseUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Saturday, April 23, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aoriqileng won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:48

Model Prediction: Aoriqileng wins(74.8%)

Actual result: Aoriqileng wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aoriqileng at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Aoriqileng is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Cameron Else has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Aoriqileng has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Cameron Else (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Aoriqileng
Red Corner
VS
Cameron Else
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
1491
Elo
1423
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aoriqileng
oldest →
L
KOvs Aiemann Zahabi · Jun 23
W
vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23
L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 24
W
KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25
L
KOvs Cody Haddon · May 26
latest
Cameron Else
oldest →
L
KOvs Kyler Phillips · Oct 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

AoriqilengMetricCameron Else
4.69
Strikes / min
1.99
5.47
Strikes absorbed / min
8.09
48%
Strike defense
51%
1.20
TDs / 15 min
0.00
58%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.78Δ 5.32 — meaningful gap-6.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1485Strikes5.3 vs 2.0Takedowns1.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -1.0
AoriqilengCameron Else

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Aoriqileng(9 fights)Cameron Else(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +68.0|Blue -68.0
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -413.0|Blue +413.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

AoriqilengTargetCameron Else

By target zone

28
51% acc · 76%
Head
5
50% acc · 83%
7
100% acc · 19%
Body
0
0% acc
2
100% acc · 5%
Leg
1
100% acc · 17%

By position

10
53% acc · 27%
Distance
5
45% acc · 83%
2
100% acc · 5%
Clinch
0
25
58% acc · 68%
Ground
1
100% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Aoriqileng rounds
0
even
0
Cameron Else rounds
Round 1Aoriqileng edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns1
Control1:34
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
37 / 64
Sig Strikes
6 / 12
57%
Sig Str %
50%
49 / 85
Total Strikes
7 / 13
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:34
Ctrl Time
0:13

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Cameron Else6 / 127 / 130 / 00
1Aoriqileng37 / 6449 / 851 / 10

Aoriqileng

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9

Cameron Else

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2