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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Stefan Struve won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1358

Elo1391

Antonio SilvavsStefan StruveUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · Sunday, May 8, 2016Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Stefan Struve won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:16

Style matchupAntonio Silva: Well-roundedvsStefan Struve: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Stefan Struve wins(65.7%)

Actual result: Stefan Struve wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Stefan Struve at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Antonio Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
Stefan Struve is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Antonio Silva has lost 100% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Antonio Silva

Red Corner

Stefan Struve

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-225

(69%)

1358

Elo

1391

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'11"

208.28 cm

Reach

213.36 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Antonio SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 14

KOvs Frank Mir · Feb 15

KOvs Soa Palelei · Aug 15

KOvs Mark Hunt · Nov 15

KOvs Roy Nelson · Sep 16

latest

Stefan StruveL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18

vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19

KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Antonio SilvaMetricStefan Struve

2.89

Strikes / min

3.12

3.09

Strikes absorbed / min

4.04

50%

Strike defense

46%

0.82

TDs / 15 min

0.56

66%

Takedown defense

55%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.20evenly matched on net striking-0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Antonio SilvaStefan Struve

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Antonio Silva(10 fights)Stefan Struve(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -32.6|Blue +32.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Antonio SilvaTargetStefan Struve

By target zone

Head

80% acc · 92%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 8%

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

33% acc · 8%

Ground

92% acc · 85%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Antonio Silva rounds

even

Stefan Struve rounds

Round 1Stefan Struve edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns0

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 1

Sig Strikes

13 / 16

Sig Str %

81%

0 / 1

Total Strikes

15 / 18

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Stefan Struve	13 / 16	15 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Antonio Silva	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0	0

Antonio Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights10

Stefan Struve

StanceOrthodox

Height83.0"

Reach84.0"

Fights20