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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Antonio Silva won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1358

Elo1490

Antonio SilvavsSoa PaleleiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · Saturday, August 1, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Antonio Silva won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:41

Style matchupAntonio Silva: Well-roundedvsSoa Palelei: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Soa Palelei wins(50.0%)

Actual result: Antonio Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Soa Palelei at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Antonio Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Antonio Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Soa Palelei has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Soa Palelei is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Antonio Silva has lost 100% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Antonio Silva

Red Corner

Soa Palelei

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1358

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'4"

208.28 cm

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Antonio SilvaL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 14

KOvs Frank Mir · Feb 15

KOvs Mark Hunt · Nov 15

KOvs Stefan Struve · May 16

KOvs Roy Nelson · Sep 16

latest

Soa Palelei

oldest →

KOvs Nikita Krylov · Aug 13

KOvs Pat Barry · Dec 13

KOvs Ruan Potts · May 14

vs Jared Rosholt · Jun 14

KOvs Walt Harris · Nov 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Antonio SilvaMetricSoa Palelei

2.89

Strikes / min

2.47

3.09

Strikes absorbed / min

2.68

50%

Strike defense

48%

0.82

TDs / 15 min

2.20

66%

Takedown defense

66%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.20evenly matched on net striking-0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Antonio SilvaSoa Palelei

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Antonio Silva(10 fights)Soa Palelei(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -132.4|Blue +132.4

Recent Form

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -107.0|Blue +107.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Antonio SilvaTargetSoa Palelei

By target zone

45% acc · 63%

Head

50% acc · 79%

100% acc · 25%

Body

80% acc · 21%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

By position

38% acc · 31%

Distance

45% acc · 26%

77% acc · 63%

Clinch

50% acc · 6%

Ground

58% acc · 74%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Antonio Silva rounds

even

Soa Palelei rounds

Round 1Soa Palelei edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control1:14

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:39Control

Round 2Antonio Silva edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:17

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 28

Sig Strikes

19 / 35

53%

Sig Str %

52%

29 / 43

Total Strikes

46 / 65

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

1:31

Ctrl Time

2:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Soa Palelei	18 / 33	45 / 63	1 / 3
1	Antonio Silva	4 / 11	17 / 26	0 / 1
2	Soa Palelei	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 0
2	Antonio Silva	12 / 17	12 / 17	0 / 0

Antonio Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights10

Soa Palelei

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights6