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Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Frank Mir won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1358

Elo1357

Antonio SilvavsFrank MirUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · Sunday, February 22, 2015Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil

Official fight result

Frank Mir won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:40

Style matchupAntonio Silva: Well-roundedvsFrank Mir: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Antonio Silva wins(63.6%)

Actual result: Frank Mir wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Antonio Silva at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Antonio Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Antonio Silva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Frank Mir has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Frank Mir is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Antonio Silva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Antonio Silva has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Frank Mir (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Antonio Silva

Red Corner

Frank Mir

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1358

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'4"

Height

6'3"

208.28 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Antonio SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 14

KOvs Soa Palelei · Aug 15

KOvs Mark Hunt · Nov 15

KOvs Stefan Struve · May 16

KOvs Roy Nelson · Sep 16

latest

Frank MirL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Josh Barnett · Aug 13

vs Alistair Overeem · Feb 14

KOvs Todd Duffee · Jul 15

vs Andrei Arlovski · Sep 15

KOvs Mark Hunt · Mar 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Antonio SilvaMetricFrank Mir

2.89

Strikes / min

2.18

3.09

Strikes absorbed / min

3.84

50%

Strike defense

38%

0.82

TDs / 15 min

2.02

66%

Takedown defense

54%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.20Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap-1.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Antonio SilvaFrank Mir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Antonio Silva(10 fights)Frank Mir(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -224.0|Blue +224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Antonio SilvaTargetFrank Mir

By target zone

Head

56% acc · 100%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 100%

Distance

40% acc · 40%

Clinch

Ground

75% acc · 60%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Antonio Silva rounds

even

Frank Mir rounds

Round 1Frank Mir edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 3

Sig Strikes

10 / 18

33%

Sig Str %

55%

1 / 3

Total Strikes

10 / 18

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Frank Mir	10 / 18	10 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Antonio Silva	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0

Antonio Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach82.0"

Fights10

Frank Mir

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights12