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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Trevin Giles won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1363

Elo1490

Antonio Braga NetovsTrevin GilesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 9, 2017Fresno, California, USA

Official fight result

Trevin Giles won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:27

Style matchupAntonio Braga Neto: WrestlervsTrevin Giles: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Trevin Giles wins(85.0%)

Actual result: Trevin Giles wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Trevin Giles at -270 American odds

+$37 profit

$137 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Antonio Braga Neto threatens submissions; Trevin Giles has lost 43% of fights by sub.
Trevin Giles has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Trevin Giles has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Antonio Braga Neto

Red Corner

Trevin Giles

Blue Corner

+230

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-270

(73%)

1363

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Antonio Braga Neto

oldest →

SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 13

vs Clint Hester · Jun 14

latest

Trevin GilesL3 streak

oldest →

vs Louis Cosce · Sep 22

vs Preston Parsons · Mar 23

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 23

KOvs Carlos Prates · Feb 24

vs Mike Malott · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Antonio Braga NetoMetricTrevin Giles

1.36

Strikes / min

3.17

3.92

Strikes absorbed / min

2.39

45%

Strike defense

58%

3.07

TDs / 15 min

1.07

Takedown defense

72%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.56Δ 3.34 — meaningful gap+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Antonio Braga NetoTrevin Giles

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Antonio Braga Neto(3 fights)Trevin Giles(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -126.6|Blue +126.6

Recent Form

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +1106.0|Blue -1106.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Antonio Braga NetoTargetTrevin Giles

By target zone

17% acc · 56%

Head

60% acc · 89%

63% acc · 28%

Body

86% acc · 9%

60% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

23% acc · 89%

Distance

61% acc · 97%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

100% acc · 11%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Antonio Braga Neto rounds

even

Trevin Giles rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control2:43

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Trevin Giles edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Trevin Giles edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control0:30

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 73

Sig Strikes

70 / 113

24.3%

Sig Str %

61.3%

26 / 86

Total Strikes

77 / 120

2 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

41.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:13

Ctrl Time

0:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Trevin Giles	12 / 26	15 / 29	0 / 0
1	Antonio Braga Neto	4 / 12	12 / 25	1 / 3
2	Trevin Giles	37 / 60	37 / 60	0 / 0
2	Antonio Braga Neto	12 / 48	12 / 48	0 / 0
3	Trevin Giles	21 / 27	25 / 31	0 / 0
3	Antonio Braga Neto	2 / 13	2 / 13	1 / 2

Antonio Braga Neto

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3

Trevin Giles

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights14