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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Andre Muniz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1407

Elo1485

Antonio ArroyovsAndre MunizUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · Saturday, November 16, 2019Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Andre Muniz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Andre Muniz wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Andre Muniz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Muniz at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Andre Muniz (53.5%).
Andre Muniz has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Antonio Arroyo

Red Corner

Andre Muniz

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1407

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Antonio ArroyoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Deron Winn · Dec 20

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Sep 21

latest

Andre MunizL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23

KOvs Paul Craig · Jul 23

vs JunYong Park · Dec 23

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Apr 25

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Antonio ArroyoMetricAndre Muniz

2.82

Strikes / min

2.08

2.02

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

50%

Strike defense

51%

1.14

TDs / 15 min

3.98

41%

Takedown defense

35%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Antonio ArroyoAndre Muniz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Antonio Arroyo(3 fights)Andre Muniz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -77.3|Blue +77.3

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Antonio ArroyoTargetAndre Muniz

By target zone

57% acc · 69%

Head

40% acc · 55%

71% acc · 17%

Body

80% acc · 36%

80% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

58% acc · 72%

Distance

50% acc · 91%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

73% acc · 28%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Antonio Arroyo rounds

even

Andre Muniz rounds

Round 1Antonio Arroyo edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:18

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:47Control

Round 2Andre Muniz edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:57

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:12Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control1:47

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:23Control

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 47

Sig Strikes

22 / 42

61.3%

Sig Str %

56%

47 / 67

Total Strikes

85 / 128

1 / 1

TDs

3 / 7

100%

TD %

55.3%

Sub Att

Rev

5:02

Ctrl Time

5:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Muniz	13 / 25	20 / 33	1 / 3	1
1	Antonio Arroyo	16 / 26	17 / 27	1 / 1	0
2	Andre Muniz	7 / 14	23 / 45	1 / 3	1
2	Antonio Arroyo	8 / 13	16 / 22	0 / 0	0
3	Andre Muniz	2 / 3	42 / 50	1 / 1	0
3	Antonio Arroyo	5 / 8	14 / 18	0 / 0	0

Antonio Arroyo

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3

Andre Muniz

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights10