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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Antonina Shevchenko won · KO/TKO
Elo1496
Antonina Shevchenko
Elo1495

Antonina ShevchenkovsAriane LipskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · Saturday, November 21, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Antonina Shevchenko won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Ariane Lipski wins(51.7%)

Actual result: Antonina Shevchenko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ariane Lipski at +130 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Antonina Shevchenko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Antonina Shevchenko
Red Corner
VS
Ariane Lipski
Blue Corner
-167
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1496
Elo
1495
41
Age
26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Antonina Shevchenko
oldest →
W
SUBvs Lucie Pudilova · Aug 19
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · May 20
L
SUBvs Andrea Lee · May 21
L
KOvs Casey O'Neill · Oct 21
W
vs Cortney Casey · Jul 22
latest
Ariane Lipski
oldest →
W
DECvs Isabela De Pauda · Nov 19
W
SUBvs Luana Carolina · Jul 20
L
KOvs Montana De La Rosa · Jun 21
W
vs Mandy Bohm · Sep 21
L
KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Antonina ShevchenkoMetricAriane Lipski
3.86
Strikes / min
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
52%
Strike defense
0.43
TDs / 15 min
53%
Takedown defense
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1504Strikes4.1 vs 3.3Takedowns0.5 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.70Form-0.3 vs 0.5
Antonina ShevchenkoAriane Lipski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Antonina Shevchenko(8 fights)Ariane Lipski(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Antonina Shevchenko

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights8

Ariane Lipski

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4