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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · Decision R3
Elo1485
Anthony Smith
Elo1358

Anthony SmithvsLeonardo Augusto LelecoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · Sunday, February 21, 2016Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Smith won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Anthony Smith wins(54.4%)

Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Smith at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Smith
Red Corner
VS
Leonardo Augusto Leleco
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
1485
Elo
1358
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23
W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24
L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24
L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24
L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25
latest
Leonardo Augusto Leleco
oldest →
L
SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony SmithMetricLeonardo Augusto Leleco
3.19
Strikes / min
—
5.04
Strikes absorbed / min
—
44%
Strike defense
—
0.44
TDs / 15 min
—
50%
Takedown defense
—
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes5.0 vs —Takedowns0.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Anthony SmithLeonardo Augusto Leleco

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Anthony Smith(10 fights)Leonardo Augusto Leleco(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +127.1|Blue -127.1
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Anthony Smith

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25

Leonardo Augusto Leleco

No profile data.