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Light Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Glover Teixeira won · KO/TKO R5

Elo1485

Elo1450

Anthony SmithvsGlover TeixeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · Wednesday, May 13, 2020Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Glover Teixeira won

KO/TKO · Round 5 · 1:04

Model Prediction: Glover Teixeira wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Glover Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Glover Teixeira at +155 American odds

+$155 profit

$255 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Smith

Red Corner

Glover Teixeira

Blue Corner

-175

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+155

(39%)

1485

Elo

1450

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

6'2"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony SmithL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23

SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24

vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24

KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24

KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25

latest

Glover TeixeiraL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Sep 19

SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20

SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21

SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22

vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony SmithMetricGlover Teixeira

3.19

Strikes / min

3.73

5.04

Strikes absorbed / min

4.43

44%

Strike defense

51%

0.44

TDs / 15 min

2.11

50%

Takedown defense

60%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.85Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap-0.70

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony SmithGlover Teixeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Smith(10 fights)Glover Teixeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +35.2|Blue -35.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony SmithTargetGlover Teixeira

By target zone

37% acc · 73%

Head

112

58% acc · 81%

55% acc · 20%

Body

68% acc · 12%

75% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 7%

By position

41% acc · 99%

Distance

49% acc · 46%

20% acc · 1%

Clinch

57% acc · 9%

Ground

83% acc · 46%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Smith rounds

even

Glover Teixeira rounds

Round 1Anthony Smith edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Anthony Smith edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:07

Knockdowns0

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:58Control

1Knockdowns

Round 4Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:15Control

Round 5Glover Teixeira edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:45Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 210

Sig Strikes

138 / 226

29%

Sig Str %

60.2%

87 / 212

Total Strikes

202 / 297

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 2

33.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

7:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Glover Teixeira	14 / 36	14 / 36	0 / 1
1	Anthony Smith	37 / 82	37 / 82	0 / 0
2	Glover Teixeira	30 / 62	30 / 62	0 / 0
2	Anthony Smith	36 / 92	36 / 92	0 / 0
3	Glover Teixeira	43 / 54	76 / 93	0 / 0
3	Anthony Smith	1 / 5	1 / 5	1 / 1
4	Anthony Smith	12 / 29	12 / 30	0 / 1
4	Glover Teixeira	32 / 46	57 / 72	1 / 1
5	Glover Teixeira	19 / 28	25 / 34	0 / 0
5	Anthony Smith	0 / 2	1 / 3	0 / 1

Anthony Smith

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights25

Glover Teixeira

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights23