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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Rocco Martin won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Anthony Rocco MartinvsAlex WhiteUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · Sunday, January 15, 2017Phoenix, Arizona, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Rocco Martin won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAnthony Rocco Martin: Well-roundedvsAlex White: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Alex White wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Anthony Rocco Martin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex White at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Alex White (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Rocco Martin

Red Corner

Alex White

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1492

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony Rocco Martin

oldest →

vs Keita Nakamura · Apr 18

KOvs Ryan LaFlare · Oct 18

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Dec 18

vs Sergio Moraes · Mar 19

vs Neil Magny · Jun 20

latest

Alex White

oldest →

KOvs Mitch Clarke · Sep 17

vs James Krause · Jan 18

SUBvs Jim Miller · Sep 18

vs Dan Moret · Mar 19

vs Rafael Fiziev · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony Rocco MartinMetricAlex White

2.68

Strikes / min

3.76

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

58%

Strike defense

60%

0.71

TDs / 15 min

0.92

68%

Takedown defense

71%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.09evenly matched on net striking+0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony Rocco MartinAlex White

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Rocco Martin(10 fights)Alex White(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony Rocco MartinTargetAlex White

By target zone

40% acc · 60%

Head

25% acc · 45%

88% acc · 35%

Body

57% acc · 36%

50% acc · 5%

Leg

67% acc · 18%

By position

29% acc · 20%

Distance

30% acc · 55%

55% acc · 30%

Clinch

50% acc · 45%

67% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Rocco Martin rounds

even

Alex White rounds

Round 1Anthony Rocco Martin edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control4:14

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Anthony Rocco Martin edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control3:36

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Round 3Anthony Rocco Martin edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control4:34

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 40

Sig Strikes

11 / 30

50.7%

Sig Str %

35.7%

83 / 119

Total Strikes

28 / 51

2 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

12:24

Ctrl Time

0:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alex White	3 / 9	6 / 13	0 / 0
1	Anthony Rocco Martin	10 / 21	32 / 47	1 / 2
2	Alex White	5 / 12	8 / 17	0 / 0
2	Anthony Rocco Martin	5 / 9	25 / 33	1 / 2
3	Alex White	3 / 9	14 / 21	0 / 0
3	Anthony Rocco Martin	5 / 10	26 / 39	0 / 2

Anthony Rocco Martin

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13

Alex White

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10