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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Anthony Pettis won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1516

Anthony PettisvsJim MillerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · Saturday, July 8, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Anthony Pettis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAnthony Pettis: Well-roundedvsJim Miller: Submission grappler

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Anthony Pettis wins(72.9%)

Actual result: Anthony Pettis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Pettis at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jim Miller (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Anthony Pettis

Red Corner

Jim Miller

Blue Corner

-235

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+195

(34%)

1493

Elo

1516

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Anthony PettisW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Stephen Thompson · Mar 19

vs Nate Diaz · Aug 19

SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jan 20

vs Donald Cerrone · May 20

vs Alex Morono · Dec 20

latest

Jim Miller

oldest →

SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Jan 24

vs King Green · Apr 24

SUBvs Damon Jackson · Nov 24

vs Chase Hooper · Apr 25

SUBvs Jared Gordon · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Anthony PettisMetricJim Miller

3.05

Strikes / min

2.92

3.44

Strikes absorbed / min

3.43

54%

Strike defense

56%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

1.49

60%

Takedown defense

47%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Anthony PettisJim Miller

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Anthony Pettis(10 fights)Jim Miller(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -23.1|Blue +23.1

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Anthony PettisTargetJim Miller

By target zone

58% acc · 61%

Head

20% acc · 27%

84% acc · 34%

Body

65% acc · 31%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

91% acc · 42%

By position

64% acc · 79%

Distance

39% acc · 69%

89% acc · 10%

Clinch

73% acc · 23%

69% acc · 11%

Ground

36% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Anthony Pettis rounds

even

Jim Miller rounds

Round 1Anthony Pettis edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Anthony Pettis edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:15

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:50Control

Round 3Anthony Pettis edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns0

Control1:23

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 121

Sig Strikes

48 / 110

63.3%

Sig Str %

43.3%

107 / 150

Total Strikes

51 / 113

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 4

50%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:38

Ctrl Time

1:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jim Miller	17 / 49	17 / 49	0 / 2
1	Anthony Pettis	36 / 53	36 / 53	0 / 0
2	Jim Miller	8 / 19	11 / 22	1 / 1
2	Anthony Pettis	12 / 22	34 / 45	1 / 1
3	Jim Miller	23 / 42	23 / 42	0 / 1
3	Anthony Pettis	32 / 46	37 / 52	0 / 1

Anthony Pettis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights20

Jim Miller

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights40